Week 12 FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS lineup, advice for cash games
Last week's FanDuel cash lineup was undermined by some uncharacteristically strong defensive performances from the Falcons (Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper) and Lions (Christian McCaffrey), as well as Lamar Jackson's first career start (John Brown) and Gus Edwards' hot hand (Alex Collins). A couple of players paid off (Melvin Gordon, Odell Beckham Jr., Saints D/ST), but in the end, it was a disappointing week for what looked to be a high-floor set of NFL DFS picks.
This week we're team-stacking and game-stacking all over the place, with multiple Steelers and Seahawks, plus multiple pieces from the 49ers-Bucs game. Some of the correlations aren't "traditional", but given the matchups and teams involved, we still think they can all pay off.
You don't have to agree with all of our picks (we'd worry about you if you did), but check them out and use their general strategy , feel free to use our general strategy to build your own winning lineup. Good luck in Week 12!
The Seahawks have seemingly gone to a run-heavy game plan the past couple weeks, but Wilson has still thrown 57 times and produced five TDs. He's had multiple TDs in all but one game this year, and while the passing yards haven't been elite, Wilson is always a candidate to add a bunch of yards on the ground like he did in Week 10 (92). After a couple monster games against them from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Ben Roethlisberger in Weeks 9 and 10, the Panthers shot up to fifth in fantasy points per game allowed to QBs. They're likely not that bad, as shown by their limiting of Matthew Stafford on the road last week, but Wilson still has a lot of upside this week.
What hamstring injury? Fournette has 59 touches for 250 yards and three TDs in the past two games. Even if a chunk of his value is derived from volume, Fournette is still an elite back, and Buffalo has hemorrhaged rushing TDs to RBs all year. Fournette should sting them for yards and scores this week.
Conner is coming off his second-worst showing off the season, but he dropped a sure touchdown in the second half that would've made his bottom line look a lot better. We're betting a big bounce-back against a Denver defense that just allowed 159 total yards to Melvin Gordon and has been stung for over 200 rushing yards by two different RBs this year (Isaiah Crowell and Todd Gurley)
Evans, like all Tampa WRs, can be up and down, but he's still clearly the No. 1 receiver, posting 29 more targets than any other Bucs player. The 49ers have been killed by No. 1 receivers lately, allowing at least 100 yards, a TD, or both to Odell Beckham, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandin Cooks, and Davante Adams in four of the past five games. Only Raiders WRs were held in check by San Francisco in that span.
Smith-Schuster only has three TDs this year, but with five 100-yard games, his floor remains high. The targets and upside are there, and while Denver has struggled against WR1s the past two games (Keenan Allen, DeAndre Hopkins), it was WR2s who stung them earlier in the year, including Week 8 (107 yards, two TDs for Sammy Watkins). Smith-Schuster solved Jacksonville's superior secondary last week for 104 yards in a game in which Antonio Brown also went off, so we're not worried here.
Is Lockett Seattle's No. 1 receiver? He produces like it, and that's all that really matters. Carolina has been burned by primary (Kenny Golladay, Antonio Brown) and secondary receivers (JuJu Smith-Schuster, Adam Humphries) over the past three weeks, so the TD-dependent Lockett is still in prime position to produce. Lockett is yet to have 100-yard game this year, which is surprising considering his big-play upside.
The Patriots have allowed six TE touchdowns over their past six games, with only Buffalo and, perhaps shockingly, Kansas City TEs being held out of the end zone in that span. Erik Swoope and Jonnu Smith are among the TEs that have scored against them, so it's not a stretch to expect Herndon to pay off. He's slowed a bit with New York's receivers getting healthier, but he's still seen eight targets and produced 96 yards the past two games, so there's a decent floor here.
Breida's price is still depressed because of his injury-plagued middle-of-the-season struggles, but he looked much healthier last game (134 total yards, two TDs), and after a bye week, he should be closer to 100 percent. The Bucs defense is a DFS gold mine, so Breida has elite upside at a middle-of-the-road price. Take advantage.
The Browns will give up yards and even some points, but they're also elite at causing turnovers. Given this cheap price tag, Cleveland gives us a nice floor and helps us jam in other stars.