Week 13 Yahoo Fantasy Football: NFL DFS picks, lineup advice for GPP tournaments


It was a classic "good-but-not-great" performance from last week's Yahoo GPP lineup,  with Baker Mayfield, Melvin Gordon (in little more than a half), Nick Chubb, and Antonio Callaway combining for nine TDs and doing their damndest to make up for Elijah McGuire, C.J. Uzomah, Chris Godwin, and the Jaguars D/ST no-showing in favorable matchups. Such is life, and we're aiming to bounce back with some studs and value sleepers for our Week 13 NFL DFS tournament picks.

A Packers onslaught will need to lead the way. We're betting on a must-win matchup against the foundering Cardinals to spark the Packers, and we're also going with a bunch of high-upside (and in some cases, underpriced) one-offs in favorable matchups. A couple of our WRs and our TE offer risk, but that's not uncommon with what we see in the DraftKings perfect lineup every week. If we've hit on the right ones, it will really pay off.

Week 13 Rankings:
Quarterback | Running Back | Wide Receiver | Tight End | D/ST  | Kicker

Yahoo Fantasy Football: Week 13 NFL DFS tournament lineup

QB Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs. Cardinals ($31). The season-long stats say the Cardinals are a tough matchup for QBs, but Philip Rivers sure didn't have a problem with them last week. It's always nice to be able to pick on sinking ships late in the season, especially when they're on the road facing a team that has to win. Rodgers hasn't had a three-TD game since Week 5, so he's overdue for a monster performance. Arizona has allowed multiple passing TDs in each of the past three games (Chiefs, Raiders, Chargers), so at least Rodgers has a fairly high floor.

RB Aaron Jones, Packers vs. Cardinals ($26). Jones has scored five times in his past three games, totaling 257 rushing yards on 43 carries. Perhaps more important, at least for our purposes since we have Rodgers at QB, is that he also has 11 receptions for 111 yards in that span. Arizona entered Week 12 allowing the third-most fantasy points per game (FPPG) to RBs and were promptly shredded by three different Chargers' backs. Jones will be a chalky pick this week, but he's well worth his price.

RB Lamar Miller, Texans vs. Browns ($19). This price seems far too low, perhaps because it was set before Monday night's game. Miller hasn't had fewer than 14 touches in a game this season, and in his four games prior to Week 12, he averaged 12.7 fantasy points in standard leagues. You could argue Miller's ceiling isn't exceptionally high, but against the Browns, who allow well over 23 FPPG to RB, he has more upside than you think.

WEEK 13 DFS GPP LINEUPS: FanDuel | DraftKings

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WR Davante Adams, Packers vs. Cardinals ($33). You can't go wrong with Adams, who is the fifth-most expensive WR ($5 off the positional ceiling) but could produce the most points in any given week. He's scored or had at least 133 yards in all but one game this year. Arizona entered Week 12 allowing the eighth-fewest FPPG to WRs, but a closer look at the numbers reveals they've allowed a touchdown to WR1s in six straight games. That list includes Brandon LaFell and Marquise Goodwin. Adams should be able to torch them as Rodgers' only trusted pass-catcher.

WR D.J. Moore, Panthers @ Buccaneers ($23). This might be chasing points, as Moore has turned in two good games in a row, but with 15 catches (17 targets) for 256 yards and a score in that span, it seems clear he's the top option in Carolina. Even if Devin Funchess returns this week, Moore has all kinds of upside against a hapless Bucs pass defense that entered Week 12 allowing the third-most FPPG to WRs.

​WEEK 13 DFS CASH LINEUPS: Yahoo | FanDuel | DraftKings

WR Kenny Golladay, Lions vs. Rams ($21). This is a great price for a proven No. 1 receiver in a highly favorable matchup. In the three games in which Marvin Jones hasn't finished (two of which he didn't play at all), Golladay is averaging 6.3 receptions, 12 targets and 93.7 yards while scoring two touchdowns. The Rams have allowed 200-yard games by No. 1 receivers (Michael Thomas, Tyreek Hill) in two of the past three games, so Golladay has a sky-high ceiling.

TE Kyle Rudolph, Vikings @ Patriots ($15). It's actually a bit disappointing Rudolph had his best game since Week 3 last Sunday night, as now more people might targeting him in DFS contests. His seven-catch, 61-yard performance didn't sway us, though -- this pick is all about the matchup. New England is allowing the fourth-most FPPG to TEs, and that includes six TDs in the past seven games. The Vikings have a lot of mouths to feed on offense, but this is a good spot for Rudolph.

MORE WEEK 13 DFS: Values | Stacks | Lineup Builder

FLEX John Brown, Ravens @ Falcons ($17). This is obviously a risky pick, as Brown has only two catches in Lamar Jackson's two starts and fewer than 30 yards in five of the past six games. But he saw a team-high seven targets last week, and he figures to see a decent amount this week against Atlanta's leaky pass defense. Brown is too risky for cash games, but he's the type of low-owned player who could put a GPP lineup over the top if he hits on one of his signature big plays.

D/ST Tennessee Titans vs. Jets ($14). The Titans have by far the best matchup among the "cheap" D/STs. You know the Jets will throw at least one INT, and regardless of who starts, the potential is there for more. 

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