Tulsa vs. Memphis betting preview and pick – Tigers cashing tickets


LAS VEGAS – Memphis continues its profitable season for bettors despite flipping wins and losses every outing thus far.  This week, the Tigers will take on the Golden Hurricane of Tulsa, who are neither good nor a wise investment. The American Athletic Conference matchup kicks off on Friday night (8:00 p.m., ESPN U).

The Line: Memphis -24, Total: 61.5

Line movement: Memphis opened -22 at The Wynn on Sunday, with early money driving the number to -24 there and -24.5 elsewhere.  For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page.

Trends that matter: Tulsa is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games and 1-5 ATS in its last six overall. Memphis is a hot 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games, all this season.

The OVER is 7-1 in Tulsa's last eight games overall and 5-2 in Memphis' last seven home games.

Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

Missing Tulane: Thursday, August 28 was the last time that Tulsa chalked up a win for its program. That was the first game of the season and it took double overtime to achieve the victory. The Golden Hurricane covered that contest as a 4.5-point favorite winning 38-31 over the Green Wave.

Temple was the only other school that failed to cover against Tulsa this year, though the Owls won 35-24 with Tulsa as a 17-point dog. This means that the Hurricane are just 2-5 against the spread on the season.

One bright spot on this team is wide receiver Keevan Lucas. Lucas has 64 grabs on the year with 809 yards and eight touchdowns. On the sophomore's eleventh catch, a 160 yard day a couple weeks ago, Tulsa got out to a 27-7 lead over South Florida.

Then, the defense took a vacation. The Golden Hurricane completely blew the lead and lost 38-30 as a slight underdog.

As stated above, that game was two weeks ago which means Tulsa will be rested for Friday. In head coach Bill Blankenship's last two spots with a full extra week to prepare, he is 0-2 straight-up and against the spread.

Win, lose, repeat: This has been the trend for the Tigers all year long, never stringing together two wins or losses all season long. Coming up in that pattern would be a loss, however they have not been a 3-touchdown favorite in any of their defeats.

Even with strong opponents UCLA and Ole Miss on the schedule, Memphis' defense ranks 16th in the country, allowing just 19.6 points per game. Some of that unit's best games have come on the road, too. Away from home, they allowed 24 to Ole Miss, 14 to Cincinnati, and 10 last week to SMU.

This week, the Tigers are at home. Tulsa has had recent success against Memphis, but throw out those trends. The Golden Hurricane had been favored in the last four and were favored by more than a touchdown in the last three. This is a different situation.

In his career, Memphis head coach Justin Fuente is 4-0 straight-up and against the spread when he is a double-digit favorite. Three of those contests came this year including once as a 38.5-point favorite.

Injuries that matter: For Tulsa, defensive back Austin McDaniel (hamstring) and wide receiver Keyarris Garrett (undisclosed) are questionable for Friday.

Memphis running back Sam Craft is also questionable with an undisclosed injury.

Weather: Mostly clear skies and temperatures around 56 degrees are in the forecast. Visit Weather Underground for the latest forecast.

Handicapping tools: Matchup analysis | Power Ratings | TULSA team page | MEM team page

The Linemakers' lean: The number here is too inflated to recommend laying the points, but with Memphis going against one of the worst defenses in the country, we'll look to get this game OVER the total.  Thanks to Tulsa's porous D, six of the Golden Hurricane's last seven games have gone OVER.  Look for that trend to continue.

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