LAS VEGAS – The 49ers return from their bye week hoping to win for the fourth time in five games when they host the Rams in an NFC West matchup on Sunday (4:05 p.m. ET, Fox). San Francisco was blown out 42-17 by the Broncos before the bye as a 6.5-point road underdog after covering its previous two games. St. Louis is 1-4 straight-up and against the spread in its past five following a 34-7 road loss to the Chiefs last week as a 7.5-point dog.
The Line: 49ers -10, Total: 44
Line movement and notes: The 49ers opened as 9.5-point home favorites at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook on Sunday and have seen the line move up slightly to -10 there and at other shops around town. The total opened 44 at the SuperBook and has stayed there in early betting action. For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page.
Trends that matter: The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games....The 49ers are 1-3 ATS in their last four games as double-digit home favorites....The 49ers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week....The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games....The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as double-digit underdogs.
The UNDER is 7-3 in San Francisco’s last 10 games....The UNDER is 5-1 in St. Louis’ last six road games.
Both teams chasing Cards in NFC West: Through the first seven games of the season, many NFL betting experts would probably be surprised to see the Cardinals leading the NFC West at 6-1, with the 49ers and Seahawks both two games behind them. But that’s the scenario right now, making this an important divisional matchup for not only San Francisco, but the Rams as well. Arizona visits the Cowboys, and Seattle hosts winless Oakland this week.
The latest Don Best/Linemakers NFL Power Ratings still have the Seahawks (third with a 99 rating) and 49ers (tied for fifth with a 98) ranked much higher than the Cardinals (tied for 19th with a 93.5), who share their spot with the Giants and Steelers. None of that matters, though, if Arizona keeps winning and ends up capturing its first division crown since 2009.
San Francisco still has high hopes of winning its third NFC West title in four years this season, and will play four divisional games in its last nine starting with this matchup against St. Louis. The 49ers have won the last three meetings with the Rams both SU and ATS, including a 31-17 victory back in Week 6 on Monday Night Football. That game looked bleak early on for San Francisco, as the team trailed St. Louis 14-3 late in the second quarter. With 14 second left in the half, quarterback Colin Kaepernick connected with wide receiver Brandon Lloyd on an 80-yard touchdown pass. The 49ers outscored the Rams 21-3 after the break en route to the win.
St. Louis had covered each of the previous three meetings with San Francisco prior to the current three-game series skid ATS, including twice as a double-digit underdog, according to the OddsShark NFL Database. In fact, the Rams are 4-1 against the line in their past five games as double-digit dogs, all of them against divisional opponents. The 49ers are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games as double-digit home favorites, and they have also gone 2-7-1 against the line in their past 10 games following a bye week.
Injuries that matter: Visit here for all Week 9 NFL injuries.
Weather: The temperature will be around 67, with partly cloudy skies and winds 10 to 15 mph. Visit Weather Underground for the latest forecast.
The Linemakers' lean: The 49ers will benefit from the extra week to recover from the beatdown they suffered at the hands of the Broncos, and should be plenty motivated for this important division game. San Fran is 8-points better than St. Louis on a neutral field, according to our power ratings, so once home field is factored in, a 10-point line is fair, and one Richie Baccellieri is happy to lay.
Brian Blessing, though, goes outside of the box for his play. The Rams have a pattern of playing tough in the first half before fading in the second, so Brian will take +7 with St. Louis on the first-half line.
We also have a slight lean to the OVER, with that bet cashing in four of the Rams' last five games, and two in a row for San Francisco.Sign up for The Linemakers’ free newsletter and follow us on Twitter.