For the second time in three days, a small NBA DFS slate includes a drama-ridden, unpredictable Warriors squad. These are the nights you’re probably best served limiting your bankroll and sticking with cash games. We pinpointed several picks to target in those contests on FanDuel to help escape this uncertain Thursday without a hit to your wallet.
In terms of injuries, track the statuses of Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (questionable), Clippers guard Avery Bradley (questionable), Hawks center Alex Len (questionable) and Spurs forward Rudy Gay (probable). Whether those players are 100 percent will determine which bargain-bin options to jump on. We'll update whether they will go Thursday as soon as the news comes out.
Update: Jokic and Gay are expected to play. Len is also good to go. Hawks forward Taurean Prince will NOT go despite not being on the initial Hawks injury report, which has major DFS lineup implications. Bradley is out for the Clippers.
Taurean Prince (right Achilles pain) is OUT tonight.— Kevin Chouinard (@KLChouinard) November 15, 2018
As part of our multi-step lineup approach, we used Fantasy Alarm’s premium features to analyze points allowed by position and projected point values. Below are the resulting conclusions of that research.
FanDuel NBA DFS picks: Lineup advice for Thursday, Nov. 15
FAVORITE VALUE — PF P.J. Tucker, Warriors @ Rockets ($4,800). Perhaps no Houston player has enjoyed a bigger DFS bump than Tucker amid the ongoing Carmelo Anthony saga and short-term injuries to bench regulars Gerald Green and Gary Clark. With a sudden scoring void behind James Harden and Chris Paul, Tucker could soon parlay his heavy playing time into legitimate stat-stuffing production. He dealt with an illness in his past two games and still played 39 minutes against the Pacers and 40 against the Nuggets. With a clean bill of health against the Warriors, we like his chances to be one of the most valuable point-per-dollars players of a tough slate.
STUD TO STICK WITH — SG DeMar DeRozan, Spurs @ Clippers ($8,900). There aren’t many quality guard plays to choose from, but picking DeRozan should help you avoid a meltdown in cash lineups. His consistent role with the Spurs — and a Clippers defense allowing 55.1 FD points per game to shooting guards — makes him a pretty reliable bet to notch at least 40 FD points with upside for plenty more.
STAR TO AVOID — SG Klay Thompson, Warriors @ Rockets ($7,500). We’re fading most Warriors for cash lineups given the on-court chemistry issues at play and a challenging road matchup with the Rockets. While Thompson could take it upon himself to lead Golden State out of its Durant-Green feud by going off from beyond the arc, there’s little reason to take that risk outside of a GPP setting.
TAKE A CHANCE ON ME — PG Trae Young, Hawks @ Nuggets ($7,400). If you’re going to make an upside play among Thursday’s imperfect cast of guards, consider going with Young, whose usage rate makes him intriguing in this price range. Even though he managed just two field goals in his last game against the Warriors, he still reached 29.5 FD points. If that’s near his current floor, we like his potential against a Nuggets team that’s lost four straight and seems to be regressing defensively.
INJURY PLAY — PF Paul Millsap, Hawks @ Nuggets ($6,200). With Jokic good to go, Millsap is now a significantly less enticing play in a game that could quickly become a blowout. Consider shifting your attention to DeAndre' Bembry or Kevin Huerter as injury plays from this game after Prince was surprisingly ruled out for the Hawks.